“German smuggler case highlights limits of intelligence assessments”

“German smuggler case highlights limits of intelligence assessments”
October 23, 2009
     David Albright and Christina Walrond outline the trials in Germany of Mohsen Vanaki for transferring dual-use equipment to Iran in 2007. One crucial element of the case involved discrepancies between US and German intelligence assessments of whether Iran had a nuclear weapons program at the time [previously covered here]. Vanaki was fined and given a suspended sentence on charges including the transfer of high-speed cameras typically used for military applications and the attempted export of radiation detectors.
     The authors point out that the term “moderate confidence” used in the 2007 US NIE [previously covered here] carries a significant level of uncertainty and conclude that that status of Iran’s nuclear weapons program should not be assessed based solely on the 2007 NIE.
ISIS

Advertisements

0 Responses to ““German smuggler case highlights limits of intelligence assessments””



  1. Leave a Comment

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s





%d bloggers like this: